New build versus second
hand
The London property market
is defined as new build or second
hand and in 2011, buyers of
new build property were predominantly international. In 2009, the trend was
reversed and the majority of buyers of new build were actually British.
There are some interesting
assumptions to make in light of these statistics. One is that the developers
promote their projects aggressively in the international market to attract
buyers, and two, by selling off plan, developers effectively fund their
projects this way. Chinese and other Far Eastern buyers have been very active
in buying new build property in London in 2011. The Chinese economy is
continuing to experience strong growth (10.3% in 2010 and 9.5% in 2011)
resulting in a surplus of cash for buyers to invest in London. The figures
speak for themselves: buyers in the east of the City of London, particularly
Docklands, are dominated by the Chinese and two thirds of new build was
purchased by international buyers in 2011.
I should also point out that
the property market in Beijing is considered to be overheating and prices are
rising out of control – there is much speculation that the bubble is about to
burst (sound familiar?) and that property inflation in Beijing will overheat.
Investment in property constitutes some 13% of economic output in China so
there is genuine cause for concern of the effect on the economy should the
property market collapse. We do not have to go too far to understand that the
knock down effects of a property collapse can lead to restricted lending, job
losses, stagnant economic growth and a recession. Therefore there may well be
some urgency amongst Chinese buyers to invest their money quickly before times
change for the worse. And as always, London is seen as a saf(er) haven that
other parts of the world given its stable political and economic climate. And
property prices in London have held their own, even showing increases in spite
of the recession and worldwide economic crisis.
Why is new build so
popular with overseas buyers?
New build tends to be in the
outskirts of the City and is significantly more affordable than Prime Central
London property. New build also tends to be in areas which attract
professionals and City workers and so represent good rental investment
opportunity- these properties will pay for themselves as buy-to-let and in
principle, should increase in value over time. Many new builds are in
up-and-coming areas that will become more appealing and popular over time (and
as a result their value will also appreciate).
It should be added that new
build is very popular with Far Eastern buyers because it is very similar to how
they invest in their own markets where new developments dominate rather than
second hand.
Developers remain very
focussed on building projects, particularly high rise apartment blocks to the
east of the City and which benefit from easy transport links into Canary Wharf
and the Square Mile. I recently placed a Qatari national in a serviced
apartment block in Canary Wharf for one month (while she was attending a course
in the City). She frequently jumped on the tube to go to Mayfair and
Knightsbridge to meet friends for dinner or do a spot of shopping. For her it
was quite a quick and easy journey to do after a day at the office.
So do look ‘east’ if you’re
thinking of buying a good rental investment or a home away from home.
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