Where are the good deals?
This week I shall attempt to
answer a question I get frequently asked by my Arab clients- are there any good
property deals left in London?
Around five years ago I was
instructed to sell a house in Belgravia for around £55 million. At that time
there was a crazy boom going on in the property market whereby the prices kept
going up practically on a daily basis and amazingly, were being snapped up. I
remember showing this particular house to some very high net worth individuals
and who had no qualms about spending huge sums of money on a single dwelling.
It seemed then that one could pull a price out of a hat and no matter how outrageous
or unreasonable, someone would come along and pay it.
But then came the financial
crisis and property collapse. I have already alluded to the re-adjustment that
took place subsequently in the property market, in previous articles. Buyers
decided to hold off on investing into the property market while they waited for
the ‘crash’. It was widely believed that after years of spiralling prices and
easy money, that prices would crash and everyone would be left with negative
equity. The real cash buyers were waiting in the wings in anticipation. The
expected crash never happened and prices stabilised albeit below the previous
dizzy heights. Since then prices in Prime Central London have shown small but
significant increases year on year and these increases confirm that there is
enough demand to keep a crash at bay.
The problem faced currently
is a shortage of stock. Both lettings and sales are short of property: whatever
comes on the market is snapped up. For example I was recently asked to find a
flat in Mayfair for a client at around the £1.5 million mark. A search revealed
only a handful of suitable properties of which all went under offer within days
of coming on the market. By the time my client had viewed the properties and
decided to make an offer, he was asked to go to sealed bids. I would therefore
make the point that there are very few, even none, when to comes to ‘good
deals’. The distressed sales market which was buoyant post-crisis, has cooled
and sellers now have the confidence to hold for a price that suits them, that
is, if they decide to sell at all.
Perhaps the only good deals
that remain are leasehold properties with short leases which are cheaper and
effectively ‘discounted’ given the real price these properties would be worth
with a longer lease (and of course even more if they included the freehold
outright).. To extend a lease can cost anywhere from £200,000 upwards for Prime
Central London. Buyers can be put off by the high cost of renewing a lease. My
advice though would be to take the plunge on short lease properties as all the
indications point towards continued growth in Prime London property as the year
progresses.
A good agent will advise you
on the true market value of a property with a long lease and the benefits of
buying one with a short lease. To recap the areas that constitute Prime Central
London: St. John’s Wood, Notting Hill, Kensington, Marylebone, Mayfair and
Chelsea.
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